Tulsa Real Estate Market Update March 2013

Tulsa Real Estate Market Update

The best news I can share today is that we are seeing the first signs of a recovering local Real Estate market. 2006 was our peak year in the Tulsa, OK area with the highest number of sales. That year we sold about 16,000 homes in our market. Since then we declined for the next four years to a low of under 10,000 home sales in 2010. 2011 was basically flat with values declining. In 2012 we finished off the year with over 12000 home sales. Not only that, our values seem to have stabilized and the move up buyers are coming back into the market and buying the higher price ranges that have been beat up so badly over the last few years.

So, people are asking me what this means for the sellers. From my perspective, I think this is the best time to sell in the last few years. The 2010 tax credit of $8000 got a lot of buyers off the fence. Since that time buyers have been much more hesitant and the experienced investors came into our market with a vengeance. The “move up buyer” was replaced by the “best deal buyer”. For 2013, the economists are projecting a slow recovery in general with a local appreciation of 2-3%. They also hope that will continue over the next several years which will result in a slow, steady, healthy recovery for our local market.

Last but not least, the interest rates are a significant driving force behind the recovery. As long as they stay low and the lenders continue to lend money and don’t get too extreme with the regulations, we should be fine. We expect to see a slight increase in rates to approximately 4.4% by the 4th quarter of 2013.

Let me know if you have any questions and thanks for letting me share.

Paul Wheeler

August Real Estate Statistics

Month’s Supply of Inventory (MSI) Decreases

The total housing inventory at the end of August 2011 decreased 10.8% to 7,661 existing homes available for sale. Over the last 12 months this area has had an average of 761 closed sales per month. This represents an unsold inventory index of 10.07 MSI for this period.

Average Sale Prices Going Up

According to the preliminary trends, this market area has experienced some upward momentum with the increase of Average Price this month. Prices went up 2.22% in August 2011 to $156,523 versus the previous year at $153,124.

Average Days on Market Lengthens – The average number of 62.31 days that homes spent on the market before selling increased by 6.02 days or 10.70% in August 2011 compared to last year’s same month at 56.28 DOM.

Sales Success for August 2011 is Positive

Overall, with Average Prices going up and Days on Market increasing, the Listed versus Closed Ratio finished strong this month.

There were 1,793 New Listings in August 2011, down 6.42% from last year at 1,916. Furthermore, there were 948 Closed Listings this month versus last year at 744, a 27.42% increase.

Closed versus Listed trends yielded a 52.9% ratio, up from last year’s August 2011 at 38.8% a 36.16% upswing. This will certainly create pressure on a decreasing Month’s Supply of Inventory (MSI) in the following months to come.

*Statistics provided by the Greater Tulsa Association of Realtors